Para entender como algunos paises tienen la epidema controlada y otros no, es importante conocer como se transmite el virus. Un aspecto destacable de la propagación del covid, es que parece centrarse en unos pocos individuos, llamados superspreaders o supercontagiadores. La compresión de este fenomeno es importante, ya que permite otimizar las medidas de prevención más adecuadas, optimizar el rastreo de los casos y mejorar las estrategias de test.
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etiquetas: covid19 , coronavirus , superdispersion , contagio
Algunos fragmentos:
if we can use retrospective contact tracing to find the person who infected our patient, and then trace the forward contacts of the infecting person, we are generally going to find a lot more cases
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In an overdispersed regime, identifying transmission events (someone infected someone else) is more important than identifying infected individuals.
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, low-sensitivity tests can help mitigate a pandemic even if it is not overdispersed, but they are particularly valuable for cluster identification during an overdispersed one
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Overdispersion makes it harder for us to absorb lessons from the world, because it interferes with how we ordinarily think about cause and effect